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JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) — Uptrend in force
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is trading at $356.30, +5.45 (+1.55%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +10.6% move. Price is -0.8% from its 6-month high and +26.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is trading at $356.30. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +10.6% move.
Price is -0.8% from the 6-month high and +26.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($351.89, +1.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($332.98).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $356.30, upper $362.97, middle $349.34, lower $335.71. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 65.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $6.68, signal $6.88, histogram -0.196.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.11) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($356.30) is +13.8% above the anchored VWAP ($312.96). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $356.30. Resistance above: $359.30, $362.97. Support below: $354.15, $349.34, $343.78.
Watch $359.30 as the first upside level to clear, and $354.15 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$359.30
Resistance
$362.97
Support
$354.15
Support
$349.34
Support
$343.78
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+10.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($332.98).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 66 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.196) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.76).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($312.96).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T13:16:28.450987671Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.