LMT (LMT) — Downtrend in force
LMT (LMT) is trading at $509.28, -2.94 (52.2%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -20.2% move. Price is -20.2% from its 6-month high and +3.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
LMT (LMT) is trading at $509.28. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -20.2% move.
Price is -20.2% from the 6-month high and +3.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($520.05, -2.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($553.22).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $509.28, upper $543.56, middle $522.12, lower $500.68. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 21.4. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-11.60, signal $-10.98, histogram -0.625.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.77). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($509.28) is -5.8% below the anchored VWAP ($540.67). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $509.28. Resistance above: $531.00, $542.61, $567.50. Support below: $498.55.
Watch $531.00 as the first upside level to clear, and $498.55 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$531.00
Resistance
$542.61
Resistance
$567.50
Support
$498.55
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-20.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($553.22).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 21 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.625) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.20).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.77) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($540.67).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:54.023347191Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.