LYB (LYB) — Downtrend in force
LYB (LYB) is trading at $58.99, +0.81 (+-38.8%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -25.0% move. Price is -26.5% from its 6-month high and +12.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
LYB (LYB) is trading at $58.99. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -25.0% move.
Price is -26.5% from the 6-month high and +12.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($59.82, -1.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($62.30).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $58.99, upper $66.28, middle $60.90, lower $55.53. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 17.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 29.1. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.34, signal $-1.16, histogram -0.181.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.93) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($58.99) is -9.6% below the anchored VWAP ($65.24). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $58.99. Resistance above: $60.65, $61.59, $62.80. Support below: $55.53.
Watch $60.65 as the first upside level to clear, and $55.53 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$60.65
Resistance
$61.59
Resistance
$62.80
Support
$55.53
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-25.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($62.30).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 29 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.181) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.32).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($65.24).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:55.772564063Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.