MAS (MAS) — Downtrend in force
MAS (MAS) is trading at $76.77, +5.29 (+7.4%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +7.2% move. Price is -7.2% from its 6-month high and +31.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend, stabilising
MAS (MAS) is trading at $76.77. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +7.2% move.
The 6-month trend is down, but the last ~20 sessions are up 0.8% — early stabilisation. Price is -7.2% from the high and +31.0% from the low.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($76.61) and above the 50-day SMA ($75.71).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $76.77, upper $82.33, middle $77.00, lower $71.68. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 49.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.18, signal $0.06, histogram -0.241.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.61). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($76.77) is +8.3% above the anchored VWAP ($70.91). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $76.77. Resistance above: $77.34, $78.78, $80.80. Support below: $75.51, $74.43, $73.18.
Watch $77.34 as the first upside level to clear, and $75.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$77.34
Resistance
$78.78
Resistance
$80.80
Support
$75.51
Support
$74.43
Support
$73.18
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+7.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($75.71).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 50 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.241) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.48).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.61) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($70.91).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:24.920537741Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.