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MCO (MCO) — Downtrend in force
MCO (MCO) is trading at $475.98, -2.4 (-0.5%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +5.9% move. Price is -8.3% from its 6-month high and +15.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
MCO (MCO) is trading at $475.98. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +5.9% move.
Price is -8.3% from the 6-month high and +15.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($482.92, -1.4%) and above the 50-day SMA ($471.11).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $475.98, upper $514.03, middle $488.43, lower $462.82. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 32.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.84, signal $3.45, histogram -2.614.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.76). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($475.98) is +5.1% above the anchored VWAP ($452.91). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $475.98. Resistance above: $479.21, $487.37, $495.75. Support below: $468.37, $459.22, $437.51.
Watch $479.21 as the first upside level to clear, and $468.37 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$479.21
Resistance
$487.37
Resistance
$495.75
Support
$468.37
Support
$459.22
Support
$437.51
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+5.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($471.11).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 32 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.614) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.26).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.76) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($452.91).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:25.417076840Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.