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MCO (MCO) — Downtrend in force
MCO (MCO) is trading at $454.54, -0.28 (1.43%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +2.4% move. Price is -12.4% from its 6-month high and +6.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
MCO (MCO) is trading at $454.54. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +2.4% move.
Price is -12.4% from the 6-month high and +6.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($460.17, -1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($479.88).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $454.54, upper $483.02, middle $463.23, lower $443.44. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 42.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-9.60, signal $-8.29, histogram -1.309.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.08) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($454.54) is -2.2% below the anchored VWAP ($464.82). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $454.54. Resistance above: $458.65, $469.18, $474.50. Support below: $443.44, $438.01.
Watch $458.65 as the first upside level to clear, and $443.44 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$458.65
Resistance
$469.18
Resistance
$474.50
Support
$443.44
Support
$438.01
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+2.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($479.88).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.309) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.28).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($464.82).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:57.147809712Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.