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MPC (MPC) — Range-bound
MPC (MPC) is trading at $293.43, -23.04 (-7.28%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +43.7% move. Price is -8.2% from its 6-month high and +52.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MPC (MPC) is trading at $293.43. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +43.7% move.
Price is -8.2% from the 6-month high and +52.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($309.34, -5.1%) and above the 50-day SMA ($279.12).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $293.43, upper $322.52, middle $307.90, lower $293.28. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 9.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 32.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $6.58, signal $10.34, histogram -3.759.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($293.43) is +18.7% above the anchored VWAP ($247.22). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $293.43. Resistance above: $313.74, $317.72, $322.52. Support below: $293.28, $261.57, $256.36.
Watch $313.74 as the first upside level to clear, and $293.28 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$313.74
Resistance
$317.72
Resistance
$322.52
Support
$293.28
Support
$261.57
Support
$256.36
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($279.12).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 33 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-3.759) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.01).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($247.22).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:27.389023651Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.