MPWR (MPWR) — Uptrend in force
MPWR (MPWR) is trading at $1,475.05, +119.06 (+-32.7%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +25.0% move. Price is -12.7% from its 6-month high and +29.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~49%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MPWR (MPWR) is trading at $1,475.05. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +25.0% move.
Price is -12.7% from the 6-month high and +29.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~49%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($1,337.45, +10.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($1,310.17).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,475.05, upper $1,514.46, middle $1,298.59, lower $1,082.72. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 33.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 84.2. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $45.29, signal $20.87, histogram +24.427.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.22) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($1,475.05) is +4.9% above the anchored VWAP ($1,405.69). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $1,475.05. Resistance above: $1,514.46. Support below: $1,411.60, $1,347.85, $1,297.30.
Watch $1,514.46 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,411.60 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,514.46
Support
$1,411.60
Support
$1,347.85
Support
$1,297.30
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+25.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($1,310.17).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 84 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+24.427) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.91).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($1,405.69).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:00.079072273Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.