Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) — Range-bound
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) is trading at $141.85, -7.43 (1.66%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is flat with a +17.4% move. Price is -9.3% from its 6-month high and +29.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 4 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) is trading at $141.85. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +17.4% move.
Price is -9.3% from the 6-month high and +29.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($146.46, -3.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($142.68).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $141.85, upper $151.66, middle $146.09, lower $140.52. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 7.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 40.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.22, signal $0.99, histogram -1.203.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.82) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($141.85) is +10.1% above the anchored VWAP ($128.79). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $141.85. Resistance above: $144.15, $148.69, $150.36. Support below: $140.52.
Watch $144.15 as the first upside level to clear, and $140.52 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$144.15
Resistance
$148.69
Resistance
$150.36
Support
$140.52
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($142.68).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 40 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.203) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.12).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($128.79).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:54.186851546Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.