MRNA (MRNA) — Downtrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $55.99, +1.17 (+2.13%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +33.5% move. Price is -31.6% from its 6-month high and +39.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~72%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $55.99. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +33.5% move.
Price is -31.6% from the 6-month high and +39.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~72%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($56.35) and below the 50-day SMA ($59.23).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $55.99, upper $67.55, middle $58.65, lower $49.74. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 30.4% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 44.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.05, signal $-1.59, histogram -0.462.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($55.99) is +2.5% above the anchored VWAP ($54.63). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $55.99. Resistance above: $58.00, $59.45, $61.86. Support below: $55.88, $53.35, $52.66.
Watch $58.00 as the first upside level to clear, and $55.88 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$58.00
Resistance
$59.45
Resistance
$61.86
Support
$55.88
Support
$53.35
Support
$52.66
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+33.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($59.23).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.462) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.35).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($54.63).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:27.709426152Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.