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MRNA (MRNA) — Uptrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $193.02, -10.44 (-5.01%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +295.8% move. Price is -5.1% from its 6-month high and +325.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~75%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $193.02. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +295.8% move.
Price is -5.1% from the 6-month high and +325.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~75%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($183.84, +5.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($129.36).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $193.02, upper $221.21, middle $173.21, lower $125.21. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 55.4% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 67.4. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $19.08, signal $19.83, histogram -0.755.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.20) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting near highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($193.02) is +66.9% above the anchored VWAP ($115.64). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $193.02. Resistance above: $193.72, $208.90, $221.21. Support below: $192.51, $183.28, $173.21.
Watch $193.72 as the first upside level to clear, and $192.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$193.72
Resistance
$208.90
Resistance
$221.21
Support
$192.51
Support
$183.28
Support
$173.21
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+295.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($129.36).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 67 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.755) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.71).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($115.64).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:00.239001613Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.