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Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) — Uptrend in force
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) is trading at $533.10, +24.14 (+1.51%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +43.0% move. Price is +0.0% from its 6-month high and +51.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) is trading at $533.10. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +43.0% move.
Price is 0.0% from the 6-month high and +51.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($507.72, +5.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($493.47).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $533.10, upper $527.91, middle $504.90, lower $481.90. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 9.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 79.7. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $9.81, signal $8.11, histogram +1.702.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.22) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($533.10) is +24.6% above the anchored VWAP ($427.73). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 0 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $533.10. Resistance above: none nearby. Support below: $506.39, $500.80, $491.22.
Support
$506.39
Support
$500.80
Support
$491.22
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+43.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($493.47).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 80 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.702) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.11).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($427.73).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:54.811493223Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.