MSTR (MSTR) — Uptrend in force
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $167.16, +12.49 (+1.66%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +30.9% move. Price is -14.7% from its 6-month high and +103.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~93%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $167.16. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +30.9% move.
Price is -14.7% from the 6-month high and +103.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~93%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($156.51, +6.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($126.43).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $167.16, upper $179.98, middle $150.32, lower $120.66. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 39.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 76.9. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $10.42, signal $10.54, histogram -0.123.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.26) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($167.16) is +29.4% above the anchored VWAP ($129.18). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $167.16. Resistance above: $170.17, $179.98. Support below: $152.02, $150.32, $137.07.
Watch $170.17 as the first upside level to clear, and $152.02 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$170.17
Resistance
$179.98
Support
$152.02
Support
$150.32
Support
$137.07
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+30.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($126.43).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 77 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.123) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.78).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($129.18).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:50.854406490Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.