MSTR (MSTR) — Range-bound
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $101.90, +8.62 (+9.24%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -26.4% move. Price is -48.0% from its 6-month high and +23.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~73%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $101.90. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -26.4% move.
Price is -48.0% from the 6-month high and +23.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~73%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($96.92, +5.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($106.38).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $101.90, upper $102.31, middle $96.50, lower $90.68. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 12.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.20, signal $-3.83, histogram +1.629.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($101.90) is -21.3% below the anchored VWAP ($129.54). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $101.90. Resistance above: $101.95, $104.60, $136.25. Support below: $99.95, $97.57, $96.36.
Watch $101.95 as the first upside level to clear, and $99.95 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$101.95
Resistance
$104.60
Resistance
$136.25
Support
$99.95
Support
$97.57
Support
$96.36
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($106.38).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 57 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.629) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.96).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($129.54).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:03:04.862702983Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.