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MTD (MTD) — Uptrend in force
MTD (MTD) is trading at $1,431.89, +15.59 (+1.1%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +3.7% move. Price is -0.9% from its 6-month high and +39.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MTD (MTD) is trading at $1,431.89. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +3.7% move.
Price is -0.9% from the 6-month high and +39.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($1,372.23, +4.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($1,264.99).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,431.89, upper $1,468.30, middle $1,357.97, lower $1,247.65. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 16.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 79.6. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $48.19, signal $44.13, histogram +4.060.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.92) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($1,431.89) is +15.1% above the anchored VWAP ($1,243.76). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $1,431.89. Resistance above: $1,465.01. Support below: $1,421.68, $1,383.26, $1,357.97.
Watch $1,465.01 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,421.68 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,465.01
Support
$1,421.68
Support
$1,383.26
Support
$1,357.97
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+3.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($1,264.99).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 80 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+4.060) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.83).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($1,243.76).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:28.810455965Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.