NCLH (NCLH) — Uptrend in force
NCLH (NCLH) is trading at $15.61, +0.81 (+4.98%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a -19.4% move. Price is -28.8% from its 6-month high and +10.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
NCLH (NCLH) is trading at $15.61. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a -19.4% move.
Price is -28.8% from the 6-month high and +10.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($14.57, +7.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($16.60).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $15.61, upper $15.31, middle $14.59, lower $13.86. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 10.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 69.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.37, signal $-0.63, histogram +0.259.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.04) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($15.61) is -12.6% below the anchored VWAP ($17.87). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $15.61. Resistance above: $15.79, $17.16, $17.72. Support below: $15.31, $14.59, $14.34.
Watch $15.79 as the first upside level to clear, and $15.31 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$15.79
Resistance
$17.16
Resistance
$17.72
Support
$15.31
Support
$14.59
Support
$14.34
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-19.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($16.60).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 69 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.259) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.20).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($17.87).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:02.432663732Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.