NI (NI) — Downtrend in force
NI (NI) is trading at $42.96, -1.47 (-3.31%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -3.4% move. Price is -12.5% from its 6-month high and +0.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NI (NI) is trading at $42.96. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -3.4% move.
Price is -12.5% from the 6-month high and +0.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($44.99, -4.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($46.30).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $42.96, upper $47.76, middle $45.33, lower $42.89. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 10.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 29.0. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.91, signal $-0.64, histogram -0.271.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($42.96) is -8.0% below the anchored VWAP ($46.68). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $42.96. Resistance above: $45.82, $46.33, $46.99. Support below: $42.89, $41.95.
Watch $45.82 as the first upside level to clear, and $42.89 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$45.82
Resistance
$46.33
Resistance
$46.99
Support
$42.89
Support
$41.95
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-3.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($46.30).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 29 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.271) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.01).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($46.68).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:30.141977061Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.