Nike Inc. (NKE) — Downtrend in force
Nike Inc. (NKE) is trading at $42.00, -0.29 (-0.69%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -32.7% move. Price is -36.0% from its 6-month high and +3.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~33%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Nike Inc. (NKE) is trading at $42.00. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -32.7% move.
Price is -36.0% from the 6-month high and +3.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~33%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($42.29) and below the 50-day SMA ($43.27).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $42.00, upper $44.32, middle $42.60, lower $40.89. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 43.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.33, signal $-0.32, histogram -0.018.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.35× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($42.00) is -10.0% below the anchored VWAP ($46.68). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $42.00. Resistance above: $42.08, $43.06, $43.58. Support below: $41.23, $40.69, $40.00.
Watch $42.08 as the first upside level to clear, and $41.23 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$42.08
Resistance
$43.06
Resistance
$43.58
Support
$41.23
Support
$40.69
Support
$40.00
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-32.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($43.27).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 44 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.018) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.32).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.35× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($46.68).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T13:16:29.248794279Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.