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Nike Inc. (NKE) — Downtrend in force
Nike Inc. (NKE) is trading at $34.46, -1.38 (1.47%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -21.7% move. Price is -27.2% from its 6-month high and +1.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Nike Inc. (NKE) is trading at $34.46. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -21.7% move.
Price is -27.2% from the 6-month high and +1.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($35.51, -3.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($38.64).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $34.46, upper $37.64, middle $35.84, lower $34.03. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 10.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 37.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.17, signal $-1.13, histogram -0.041.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 18 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.38× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($34.46) is -15.4% below the anchored VWAP ($40.72). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $34.46. Resistance above: $36.14, $36.51, $37.04. Support below: $34.03, $31.97.
Watch $36.14 as the first upside level to clear, and $34.03 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$36.14
Resistance
$36.51
Resistance
$37.04
Support
$34.03
Support
$31.97
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-21.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($38.64).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 37 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.041) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.12).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.38× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($40.72).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:54.959105014Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.