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NOC (NOC) — Downtrend in force
NOC (NOC) is trading at $482.58, -22.03 (1.36%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -30.6% move. Price is -30.6% from its 6-month high and +1.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NOC (NOC) is trading at $482.58. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -30.6% move.
Price is -30.6% from the 6-month high and +1.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($504.35, -4.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($535.50).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $482.58, upper $545.22, middle $508.87, lower $472.52. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 14.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 21.1. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-15.24, signal $-12.28, histogram -2.965.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.86) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($482.58) is -12.0% below the anchored VWAP ($548.10). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $482.58. Resistance above: $523.01, $529.00, $536.62. Support below: $470.06.
Watch $523.01 as the first upside level to clear, and $470.06 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$523.01
Resistance
$529.00
Resistance
$536.62
Support
$470.06
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-30.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($535.50).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 21 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.965) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.14).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($548.10).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:04.923918391Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.