NRG (NRG) — Downtrend in force
NRG (NRG) is trading at $120.30, -13.99 (-10.42%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -22.8% move. Price is -34.6% from its 6-month high and +2.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~69%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NRG (NRG) is trading at $120.30. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -22.8% move.
Price is -34.6% from the 6-month high and +2.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~69%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($130.55, -7.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($134.19).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $120.30, upper $147.38, middle $131.80, lower $116.21. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 23.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 41.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.15, signal $-2.46, histogram -1.686.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.85) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($120.30) is -17.9% below the anchored VWAP ($146.52). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $120.30. Resistance above: $128.60, $131.86, $138.73. Support below: $116.21, $112.50.
Watch $128.60 as the first upside level to clear, and $116.21 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$128.60
Resistance
$131.86
Resistance
$138.73
Support
$116.21
Support
$112.50
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-22.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($134.19).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 41 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.686) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.13).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($146.52).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:30.563038965Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.