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NRG (NRG) — Downtrend in force
NRG (NRG) is trading at $103.98, +6.81 (+7.42%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -30.6% move. Price is -39.2% from its 6-month high and +9.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NRG (NRG) is trading at $103.98. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -30.6% move.
Price is -39.2% from the 6-month high and +9.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($100.33, +3.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($112.68).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $103.98, upper $114.88, middle $103.00, lower $91.12. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 23.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 51.3. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.61, signal $-5.09, histogram +0.474.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.96) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($103.98) is -20.3% below the anchored VWAP ($130.47). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $103.98. Resistance above: $110.98, $114.46, $117.39. Support below: $103.00, $93.36, $91.12.
Watch $110.98 as the first upside level to clear, and $103.00 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$110.98
Resistance
$114.46
Resistance
$117.39
Support
$103.00
Support
$93.36
Support
$91.12
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-30.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($112.68).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.474) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.54).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($130.47).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:05.195738975Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.