NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) — Uptrend in force
NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is trading at $238.90, +10.04 (+2.12%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +34.5% move. Price is +0.0% from its 6-month high and +34.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is trading at $238.90. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +34.5% move.
Price is 0.0% from the 6-month high and +34.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($227.60, +5.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($219.77).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $238.90, upper $240.16, middle $224.87, lower $209.59. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 13.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 84.6. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.66, signal $3.30, histogram +1.358.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.07) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($238.90) is +13.1% above the anchored VWAP ($211.18). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $238.90. Resistance above: $240.16. Support below: $229.63, $224.86, $220.90.
Watch $240.16 as the first upside level to clear, and $229.63 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$240.16
Support
$229.63
Support
$224.86
Support
$220.90
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+34.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($219.77).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 85 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.358) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.96).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($211.18).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T13:01:55.967128830Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.