NVR

NVR (NVR) — Range-bound

NVR (NVR) is trading at $6,025.41, -209.23 (92.5%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is flat with a -10.3% move. Price is -15.1% from its 6-month high and +8.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.

Trend Range-bound / consolidating

NVR (NVR) is trading at $6,025.41. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -10.3% move.

Price is -15.1% from the 6-month high and +8.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.

Price is below the 15-day MA ($6,176.96, -2.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($6,269.23).

Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $6,025.41, upper $6,380.70, middle $6,182.39, lower $5,984.08. Price is near the lower band — weakness.

Bandwidth is 6.4% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Below 50

RSI(14) is 38.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-64.96, signal $-41.83, histogram -23.132.

The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.

Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control

Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.75). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater

Price ($6,025.41) is -4.7% below the anchored VWAP ($6,323.38). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels

Current price $6,025.41. Resistance above: $6,191.97, $6,295.47, $6,370.23. Support below: $5,984.08.

Watch $6,191.97 as the first upside level to clear, and $5,984.08 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($6,269.23).
• RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-23.132) — fast line below signal.
• Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.10).
• Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.75) — distribution.
• A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
• AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($6,323.38).

Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:06.606951752Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.