NVR

NVR (NVR) — Downtrend in force

NVR (NVR) is trading at $6,408.96, +261.91 (+4.26%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -18.7% move. Price is -20.9% from its 6-month high and +15.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.

Trend Downtrend in force

NVR (NVR) is trading at $6,408.96. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -18.7% move.

Price is -20.9% from the 6-month high and +15.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.

Price is above the 15-day MA ($6,322.83, +1.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($6,412.76).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $6,408.96, upper $6,618.55, middle $6,367.40, lower $6,116.25. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 7.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Healthy pullback

RSI(14) is 51.3. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-39.16, signal $-39.42, histogram +0.253.

The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.

Volume Analysis Balanced volume

Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.90) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater

Price ($6,408.96) is -2.2% below the anchored VWAP ($6,556.24). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels

Current price $6,408.96. Resistance above: $6,445.61, $6,515.01, $6,618.55. Support below: $6,394.24, $6,325.01, $6,257.69.

Watch $6,445.61 as the first upside level to clear, and $6,394.24 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-18.7% over the period).
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($6,412.76).
• RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.253) — fast line above signal.
• Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.58).
• Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
• A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
• AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($6,556.24).

Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:31.413505304Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.