NXPI (NXPI) — Downtrend in force
NXPI (NXPI) is trading at $236.78, +7.62 (+3.33%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +3.4% move. Price is -28.8% from its 6-month high and +26.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NXPI (NXPI) is trading at $236.78. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +3.4% move.
Price is -28.8% from the 6-month high and +26.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($251.28, -5.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($282.43).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $236.78, upper $296.87, middle $257.38, lower $217.89. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 30.7% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 35.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-14.43, signal $-12.35, histogram -2.075.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.84) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($236.78) is -9.6% below the anchored VWAP ($261.92). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $236.78. Resistance above: $271.09, $274.19, $280.03. Support below: $217.89.
Watch $271.09 as the first upside level to clear, and $217.89 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$271.09
Resistance
$274.19
Resistance
$280.03
Support
$217.89
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+3.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($282.43).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 36 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.075) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.24).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($261.92).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:31.790379922Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.