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Oracle Corp. (ORCL) — Downtrend in force
Oracle Corp. (ORCL) is trading at $144.98, +7.19 (+1.75%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -0.4% move. Price is -41.6% from its 6-month high and +26.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Oracle Corp. (ORCL) is trading at $144.98. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -0.4% move.
Price is -41.6% from the 6-month high and +26.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($142.39, +1.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($144.64).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $144.98, upper $157.48, middle $144.29, lower $131.10. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 18.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 54.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.75, signal $-1.72, histogram -0.028.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.09) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($144.98) is -8.4% below the anchored VWAP ($158.28). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $144.98. Resistance above: $145.12, $146.69, $148.35. Support below: $144.29, $142.60, $139.00.
Watch $145.12 as the first upside level to clear, and $144.29 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$145.12
Resistance
$146.69
Resistance
$148.35
Support
$144.29
Support
$142.60
Support
$139.00
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-0.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($144.64).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 55 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.028) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.53).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($158.28).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:09.073181098Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.