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ORLY (ORLY) — Range-bound
ORLY (ORLY) is trading at $84.94, -1.13 (1.24%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is flat with a -7.8% move. Price is -14.6% from its 6-month high and +2.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 3 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
ORLY (ORLY) is trading at $84.94. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -7.8% move.
Price is -14.6% from the 6-month high and +2.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($85.13) and below the 50-day SMA ($88.20).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $84.94, upper $87.35, middle $85.34, lower $83.33. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 4.7% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 53.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.79, signal $-0.84, histogram +0.051.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.26) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($84.94) is -4.6% below the anchored VWAP ($89.06). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $84.94. Resistance above: $86.32, $87.35, $88.79. Support below: $84.84, $82.83.
Watch $86.32 as the first upside level to clear, and $84.84 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$86.32
Resistance
$87.35
Resistance
$88.79
Support
$84.84
Support
$82.83
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($88.20).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 54 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.051) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.40).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($89.06).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:09.183376138Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.