ORLY (ORLY) — Uptrend in force
ORLY (ORLY) is trading at $92.74, +3.39 (+3.79%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +0.0% move. Price is -6.7% from its 6-month high and +12.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
ORLY (ORLY) is trading at $92.74. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +0.0% move.
Price is -6.7% from the 6-month high and +12.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($89.52, +3.6%) and above the 50-day SMA ($88.44).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $92.74, upper $94.49, middle $88.54, lower $82.59. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 13.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 69.1. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.26, signal $0.58, histogram +0.675.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.98) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($92.74) is +2.6% above the anchored VWAP ($90.41). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $92.74. Resistance above: $93.24, $94.49. Support below: $90.82, $89.78, $88.54.
Watch $93.24 as the first upside level to clear, and $90.82 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$93.24
Resistance
$94.49
Support
$90.82
Support
$89.78
Support
$88.54
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+0.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($88.44).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 69 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.675) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.85).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($90.41).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:32.782336885Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.