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PCAR (PCAR) — Uptrend in force
PCAR (PCAR) is trading at $132.53, -0.15 (-0.11%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +4.1% move. Price is -4.1% from its 6-month high and +21.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 2 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
PCAR (PCAR) is trading at $132.53. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +4.1% move.
Price is -4.1% from the 6-month high and +21.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($132.17) and above the 50-day SMA ($123.29).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $132.53, upper $138.94, middle $130.34, lower $121.74. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 60.2. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.04, signal $3.34, histogram -0.300.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.31× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($132.53) is +8.8% above the anchored VWAP ($121.84). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $132.53. Resistance above: $134.84, $136.76, $138.94. Support below: $129.78, $123.92, $122.40.
Watch $134.84 as the first upside level to clear, and $129.78 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$134.84
Resistance
$136.76
Resistance
$138.94
Support
$129.78
Support
$123.92
Support
$122.40
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+4.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($123.29).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 60 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.300) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.63).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.31× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($121.84).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:33.643593287Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.