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PGR (PGR) — Range-bound
PGR (PGR) is trading at $213.83, +2.41 (+1.14%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +6.1% move. Price is -8.8% from its 6-month high and +12.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
PGR (PGR) is trading at $213.83. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +6.1% move.
Price is -8.8% from the 6-month high and +12.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($212.45) and above the 50-day SMA ($212.00).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $213.83, upper $227.89, middle $213.34, lower $198.78. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 52.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.43, signal $-0.21, histogram -0.215.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.76). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($213.83) is +3.7% above the anchored VWAP ($206.17). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $213.83. Resistance above: $221.76, $224.53, $227.89. Support below: $213.34, $205.90, $201.83.
Watch $221.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $213.34 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$221.76
Resistance
$224.53
Resistance
$227.89
Support
$213.34
Support
$205.90
Support
$201.83
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($212.00).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 52 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.215) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.52).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.76) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($206.17).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:34.815407730Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.