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PHM (PHM) — Uptrend in force
PHM (PHM) is trading at $131.59, +5.12 (+4.05%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -0.6% move. Price is -7.7% from its 6-month high and +19.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 0 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
PHM (PHM) is trading at $131.59. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -0.6% move.
Price is -7.7% from the 6-month high and +19.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($129.04, +2.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($126.56).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $131.59, upper $134.86, middle $128.22, lower $121.58. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 60.2. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.26, signal $1.06, histogram +0.200.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.03) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($131.59) is +5.3% above the anchored VWAP ($124.94). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $131.59. Resistance above: $133.86, $136.22, $137.96. Support below: $129.91, $128.22, $125.36.
Watch $133.86 as the first upside level to clear, and $129.91 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$133.86
Resistance
$136.22
Resistance
$137.96
Support
$129.91
Support
$128.22
Support
$125.36
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-0.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($126.56).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 60 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.200) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.75).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($124.94).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:35.222329537Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.