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PM (PM) — Uptrend in force
PM (PM) is trading at $187.91, -2.91 (-1.52%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +3.3% move. Price is -6.1% from its 6-month high and +22.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
PM (PM) is trading at $187.91. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +3.3% move.
Price is -6.1% from the 6-month high and +22.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($191.70, -2.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($183.79).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $187.91, upper $201.27, middle $189.77, lower $178.26. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 12.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 42.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.48, signal $2.48, histogram -1.002.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.08) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($187.91) is +5.9% above the anchored VWAP ($177.52). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $187.91. Resistance above: $189.70, $193.00, $199.78. Support below: $187.31, $184.36, $181.32.
Watch $189.70 as the first upside level to clear, and $187.31 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$189.70
Resistance
$193.00
Resistance
$199.78
Support
$187.31
Support
$184.36
Support
$181.32
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+3.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($183.79).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 42 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.002) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.42).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($177.52).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:35.824074803Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.