POOL (POOL) — Downtrend in force
POOL (POOL) is trading at $204.19, +18.48 (+9.95%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -22.2% move. Price is -24.8% from its 6-month high and +16.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
POOL (POOL) is trading at $204.19. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -22.2% move.
Price is -24.8% from the 6-month high and +16.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($194.55, +5.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($197.69).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $204.19, upper $214.63, middle $197.53, lower $180.43. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 17.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 56.3. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.08, signal $-1.41, histogram +1.329.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($204.19) is -0.2% below the anchored VWAP ($204.70). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $204.19. Resistance above: $204.40, $206.90, $211.89. Support below: $201.39, $197.53, $193.33.
Watch $204.40 as the first upside level to clear, and $201.39 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$204.40
Resistance
$206.90
Resistance
$211.89
Support
$201.39
Support
$197.53
Support
$193.33
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-22.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($197.69).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 56 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.329) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.69).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($204.70).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:36.620418349Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.