Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) — Downtrend in force
Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) is trading at $164.70, +17.09 (+11.58%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +18.6% move. Price is -34.4% from its 6-month high and +32.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) is trading at $164.70. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +18.6% move.
Price is -34.4% from the 6-month high and +32.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($162.81, +1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($191.72).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $164.70, upper $185.54, middle $166.23, lower $146.93. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 23.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 48.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-8.52, signal $-9.56, histogram +1.042.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.09) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($164.70) is -8.7% below the anchored VWAP ($180.44). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $164.70. Resistance above: $172.39, $178.65, $185.54. Support below: $146.93, $142.89.
Watch $172.39 as the first upside level to clear, and $146.93 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$172.39
Resistance
$178.65
Resistance
$185.54
Support
$146.93
Support
$142.89
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+18.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($191.72).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 49 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.042) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.46).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($180.44).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:44.716069343Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.