REG (REG) — Downtrend in force
REG (REG) is trading at $77.26, -3.03 (-3.77%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +1.6% move. Price is -6.6% from its 6-month high and +4.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~18%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
REG (REG) is trading at $77.26. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +1.6% move.
Price is -6.6% from the 6-month high and +4.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~18%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($80.52, -4.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($79.62).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $77.26, upper $83.82, middle $80.66, lower $77.50. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 7.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 18.6. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.47, signal $0.10, histogram -0.569.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.86) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($77.26) is -1.6% below the anchored VWAP ($78.51). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $77.26. Resistance above: $77.62, $79.82, $81.77. Support below: $76.69.
Watch $77.62 as the first upside level to clear, and $76.69 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$77.62
Resistance
$79.82
Resistance
$81.77
Support
$76.69
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+1.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($79.62).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 19 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.569) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.04).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($78.51).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:45.115055704Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.