RJF (RJF) — Uptrend in force
RJF (RJF) is trading at $178.76, +2.78 (+1.58%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +2.9% move. Price is -1.0% from its 6-month high and +26.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
RJF (RJF) is trading at $178.76. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +2.9% move.
Price is -1.0% from the 6-month high and +26.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($174.03, +2.7%) and above the 50-day SMA ($161.84).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $178.76, upper $182.18, middle $172.66, lower $163.14. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 11.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 70.7. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.87, signal $4.62, histogram +0.247.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.83) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($178.76) is +15.2% above the anchored VWAP ($155.14). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $178.76. Resistance above: $182.18. Support below: $172.12, $167.33, $165.59.
Watch $182.18 as the first upside level to clear, and $172.12 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$182.18
Support
$172.12
Support
$167.33
Support
$165.59
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+2.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($161.84).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 71 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.247) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.82).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($155.14).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:45.660591121Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.