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ROK (ROK) — Uptrend in force
ROK (ROK) is trading at $457.21, +25.68 (+44.6%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +24.5% move. Price is -7.7% from its 6-month high and +24.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
ROK (ROK) is trading at $457.21. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +24.5% move.
Price is -7.7% from the 6-month high and +24.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($433.33, +5.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($437.48).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $457.21, upper $456.79, middle $430.58, lower $404.37. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 12.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 88.6. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.81, signal $0.41, histogram +4.402.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.97) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($457.21) is +3.1% above the anchored VWAP ($443.57). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 0 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $457.21. Resistance above: none nearby. Support below: $430.43, $425.51, $415.64.
Support
$430.43
Support
$425.51
Support
$415.64
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+24.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($437.48).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 89 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+4.402) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.01).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($443.57).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:26.175991611Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.