RTX (RTX) — Downtrend in force
RTX (RTX) is trading at $184.35, -2.59 (1.1%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -7.1% move. Price is -18.2% from its 6-month high and +7.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~14%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
RTX (RTX) is trading at $184.35. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -7.1% move.
Price is -18.2% from the 6-month high and +7.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~14%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($189.23, -2.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($205.28).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $184.35, upper $200.81, middle $191.14, lower $181.46. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 10.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 14.9. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.47, signal $-5.27, histogram -0.205.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.07) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($184.35) is -4.4% below the anchored VWAP ($192.91). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $184.35. Resistance above: $194.00, $196.50, $200.38. Support below: $181.46.
Watch $194.00 as the first upside level to clear, and $181.46 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$194.00
Resistance
$196.50
Resistance
$200.38
Support
$181.46
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-7.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($205.28).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 15 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.205) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.15).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($192.91).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:27.149086872Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.