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Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) — Range-bound
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) is trading at $105.40, +0.15 (+0.14%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +6.5% move. Price is -2.7% from its 6-month high and +21.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) is trading at $105.40. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +6.5% move.
Price is -2.7% from the 6-month high and +21.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($104.44) and above the 50-day SMA ($102.50).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $105.40, upper $107.67, middle $104.95, lower $102.24. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 5.2% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 54.1. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.48, signal $0.49, histogram -0.011.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.02) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($105.40) is +5.1% above the anchored VWAP ($100.25). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $105.40. Resistance above: $105.66, $107.41, $109.23. Support below: $104.29, $103.18, $101.80.
Watch $105.66 as the first upside level to clear, and $104.29 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$105.66
Resistance
$107.41
Resistance
$109.23
Support
$104.29
Support
$103.18
Support
$101.80
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($102.50).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 54 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.011) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.58).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($100.25).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:47.674318729Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.