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SCHW (SCHW) — Downtrend in force
SCHW (SCHW) is trading at $97.15, -1.95 (-82.7%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +4.5% move. Price is -14.5% from its 6-month high and +13.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
SCHW (SCHW) is trading at $97.15. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +4.5% move.
Price is -14.5% from the 6-month high and +13.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($100.37, -3.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($106.10).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $97.15, upper $110.28, middle $102.09, lower $93.91. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 16.0% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 28.6. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.69, signal $-2.23, histogram -0.464.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($97.15) is +0.3% above the anchored VWAP ($96.90). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $97.15. Resistance above: $99.01, $105.39, $107.41. Support below: $96.32, $93.91.
Watch $99.01 as the first upside level to clear, and $96.32 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$99.01
Resistance
$105.39
Resistance
$107.41
Support
$96.32
Support
$93.91
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+4.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($106.10).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 29 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.464) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.20).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($96.90).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:28.083551187Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.