SHOP (SHOP) — Uptrend in force
SHOP (SHOP) is trading at $165.25, +16.99 (+3.21%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +39.1% move. Price is +0.0% from its 6-month high and +73.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~57%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
SHOP (SHOP) is trading at $165.25. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +39.1% move.
Price is 0.0% from the 6-month high and +73.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~57%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($144.59, +14.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($142.44).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $165.25, upper $163.02, middle $140.74, lower $118.47. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 31.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 84.5. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.91, signal $2.22, histogram +2.688.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.22) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($165.25) is +32.8% above the anchored VWAP ($124.44). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 0 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $165.25. Resistance above: none nearby. Support below: $152.46, $144.12, $140.74.
Support
$152.46
Support
$144.12
Support
$140.74
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+39.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($142.44).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 84 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.688) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.05).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($124.44).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:51.067803121Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.