SMCI (SMCI) — Uptrend in force
SMCI (SMCI) is trading at $30.08, +1.68 (+5.92%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -10.3% move. Price is -40.0% from its 6-month high and +46.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~95%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
SMCI (SMCI) is trading at $30.08. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -10.3% move.
Price is -40.0% from the 6-month high and +46.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~95%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($28.76, +4.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($31.83).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $30.08, upper $32.73, middle $28.12, lower $23.51. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 32.8% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 62.4. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.00, signal $-0.47, histogram +0.469.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.89× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($30.08) is -1.3% below the anchored VWAP ($30.49). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $30.08. Resistance above: $31.84, $32.59, $36.80. Support below: $28.12, $27.71, $25.68.
Watch $31.84 as the first upside level to clear, and $28.12 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$31.84
Resistance
$32.59
Resistance
$36.80
Support
$28.12
Support
$27.71
Support
$25.68
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-10.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($31.83).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 62 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.469) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.71).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.89× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($30.49).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:48.419762956Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.