STZ (STZ) — Downtrend in force
STZ (STZ) is trading at $114.40, +1.63 (+96.2%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -26.3% move. Price is -31.1% from its 6-month high and +1.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
STZ (STZ) is trading at $114.40. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -26.3% move.
Price is -31.1% from the 6-month high and +1.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($115.81, -1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($126.39).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $114.40, upper $126.52, middle $117.68, lower $108.84. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.0% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 21.0. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.15, signal $-4.24, histogram +0.096.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.03) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($114.40) is -17.0% below the anchored VWAP ($137.90). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $114.40. Resistance above: $122.67, $126.52, $129.75. Support below: $111.54, $108.84.
Watch $122.67 as the first upside level to clear, and $111.54 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$122.67
Resistance
$126.52
Resistance
$129.75
Support
$111.54
Support
$108.84
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-26.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($126.39).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 21 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.096) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.31).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($137.90).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:33.027044338Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.