TEL (TEL) — Uptrend in force
TEL (TEL) is trading at $222.12, +9.53 (+1.46%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +5.9% move. Price is -10.3% from its 6-month high and +13.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
TEL (TEL) is trading at $222.12. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +5.9% move.
Price is -10.3% from the 6-month high and +13.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($213.46, +4.1%) and above the 50-day SMA ($209.88).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $222.12, upper $223.85, middle $211.40, lower $198.94. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 11.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 73.2. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.37, signal $2.24, histogram +1.126.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.74). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($222.12) is +5.9% above the anchored VWAP ($209.70). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $222.12. Resistance above: $223.85. Support below: $214.65, $211.40, $206.57.
Watch $223.85 as the first upside level to clear, and $214.65 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$223.85
Support
$214.65
Support
$211.40
Support
$206.57
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+5.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($209.88).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 73 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.126) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.93).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.74) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($209.70).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:36.949811723Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.