TJX (TJX) — Uptrend in force
TJX (TJX) is trading at $136.91, +3.11 (+1.86%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a -15.4% move. Price is -18.7% from its 6-month high and +11.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
TJX (TJX) is trading at $136.91. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a -15.4% move.
Price is -18.7% from the 6-month high and +11.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($131.04, +4.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($140.21).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $136.91, upper $137.12, middle $129.74, lower $122.36. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 11.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 80.4. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.81, signal $-2.35, histogram +1.537.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.19) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($136.91) is -7.3% below the anchored VWAP ($147.71). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $136.91. Resistance above: $137.12, $142.49. Support below: $130.51, $128.57, $125.79.
Watch $137.12 as the first upside level to clear, and $130.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$137.12
Resistance
$142.49
Support
$130.51
Support
$128.57
Support
$125.79
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-15.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($140.21).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 80 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.537) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.99).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($147.71).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:37.790895411Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.