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TJX (TJX) — Uptrend in force
TJX (TJX) is trading at $160.55, +3.21 (+2.04%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +2.8% move. Price is -4.7% from its 6-month high and +9.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 7 bullish, 0 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
TJX (TJX) is trading at $160.55. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +2.8% move.
Price is -4.7% from the 6-month high and +9.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($157.79, +1.7%) and above the 50-day SMA ($157.70).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $160.55, upper $163.38, middle $156.40, lower $149.42. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 61.4. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.20, signal $0.55, histogram +0.649.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.16) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($160.55) is +2.2% above the anchored VWAP ($157.04). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $160.55. Resistance above: $163.04, $166.54. Support below: $159.30, $156.40, $153.87.
Watch $163.04 as the first upside level to clear, and $159.30 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$163.04
Resistance
$166.54
Support
$159.30
Support
$156.40
Support
$153.87
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+2.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($157.70).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 61 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.649) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.80).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($157.04).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:53.289921244Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.