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TMO (TMO) — Uptrend in force
TMO (TMO) is trading at $659.59, -20.02 (-2.54%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +35.1% move. Price is -3.0% from its 6-month high and +50.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
TMO (TMO) is trading at $659.59. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +35.1% move.
Price is -3.0% from the 6-month high and +50.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($664.74) and above the 50-day SMA ($621.62).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $659.59, upper $701.46, middle $652.24, lower $603.02. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 51.4. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $15.10, signal $17.16, histogram -2.062.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.96) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($659.59) is +22.6% above the anchored VWAP ($538.06). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $659.59. Resistance above: $663.57, $682.98, $701.46. Support below: $652.24, $626.33, $603.02.
Watch $663.57 as the first upside level to clear, and $652.24 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$663.57
Resistance
$682.98
Resistance
$701.46
Support
$652.24
Support
$626.33
Support
$603.02
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+35.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($621.62).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.062) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.57).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($538.06).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:38.206244072Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.