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TPL (TPL) — Downtrend in force
TPL (TPL) is trading at $353.65, -48.93 (-12.15%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -5.6% move. Price is -34.5% from its 6-month high and +0.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
TPL (TPL) is trading at $353.65. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -5.6% move.
Price is -34.5% from the 6-month high and 0.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($397.87, -11.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($393.38).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $353.65, upper $442.50, middle $401.90, lower $361.30. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 20.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 27.0. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-7.87, signal $-1.48, histogram -6.388.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.91) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($353.65) is -19.2% below the anchored VWAP ($437.63). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $353.65. Resistance above: $359.25, $395.84, $411.46. Support below: $348.46.
Watch $359.25 as the first upside level to clear, and $348.46 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$359.25
Resistance
$395.84
Resistance
$411.46
Support
$348.46
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-5.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($393.38).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-6.388) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.09).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($437.63).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:53.908891457Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.