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Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) — Uptrend in force
Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) is trading at $386.00, +10.01 (+2.66%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +31.8% move. Price is -2.8% from its 6-month high and +35.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) is trading at $386.00. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +31.8% move.
Price is -2.8% from the 6-month high and +35.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($380.41, +1.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($336.82).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $386.00, upper $409.08, middle $371.03, lower $332.97. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 20.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 62.8. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $13.55, signal $14.73, histogram -1.179.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.93) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($386.00) is +21.2% above the anchored VWAP ($318.58). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $386.00. Resistance above: $398.70, $409.08. Support below: $369.70, $342.13, $332.97.
Watch $398.70 as the first upside level to clear, and $369.70 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$398.70
Resistance
$409.08
Support
$369.70
Support
$342.13
Support
$332.97
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+31.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($336.82).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 63 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.179) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.70).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($318.58).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T13:16:30.117266027Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.