TSCO (TSCO) — Uptrend in force
TSCO (TSCO) is trading at $33.49, +2.72 (+8.84%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -37.7% move. Price is -39.1% from its 6-month high and +14.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 7 bullish, 1 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
TSCO (TSCO) is trading at $33.49. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -37.7% move.
Price is -39.1% from the 6-month high and +14.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($31.47, +6.4%) and above the 50-day SMA ($30.82).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $33.49, upper $33.87, middle $31.23, lower $28.58. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 16.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 68.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.66, signal $0.28, histogram +0.386.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.37× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($33.49) is -6.0% below the anchored VWAP ($35.64). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $33.49. Resistance above: $33.87. Support below: $31.72, $31.23, $30.09.
Watch $33.87 as the first upside level to clear, and $31.72 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$33.87
Support
$31.72
Support
$31.23
Support
$30.09
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-37.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($30.82).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 68 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.386) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.93).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.37× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($35.64).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:54.679013708Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.