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TSN (TSN) — Downtrend in force
TSN (TSN) is trading at $52.34, +1.36 (+1.22%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -18.9% move. Price is -23.9% from its 6-month high and +3.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend, stabilising
TSN (TSN) is trading at $52.34. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -18.9% move.
The 6-month trend is down, but the last ~20 sessions are up 1.2% — early stabilisation. Price is -23.9% from the high and +3.7% from the low.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($51.55, +1.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($55.00).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $52.34, upper $53.36, middle $51.81, lower $50.26. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.0% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.93, signal $-1.19, histogram +0.262.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.21) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($52.34) is -10.5% below the anchored VWAP ($58.49). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $52.34. Resistance above: $52.82, $53.36, $54.24. Support below: $51.81, $50.71, $49.96.
Watch $52.82 as the first upside level to clear, and $51.81 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$52.82
Resistance
$53.36
Resistance
$54.24
Support
$51.81
Support
$50.71
Support
$49.96
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-18.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($55.00).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 57 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.262) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.67).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($58.49).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:39.814121209Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.