Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) — Uptrend in force
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) is trading at $296.63, +14.94 (+58.7%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +48.8% move. Price is -10.7% from its 6-month high and +48.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 7 bullish, 1 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) is trading at $296.63. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +48.8% move.
Price is -10.7% from the 6-month high and +48.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($277.05, +7.1%) and above the 50-day SMA ($271.19).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $296.63, upper $296.70, middle $273.59, lower $250.47. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 16.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 88.7. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $6.56, signal $3.24, histogram +3.316.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.42× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($296.63) is +5.3% above the anchored VWAP ($281.71). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $296.63. Resistance above: $296.70. Support below: $278.09, $273.59, $267.43.
Watch $296.70 as the first upside level to clear, and $278.09 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$296.70
Support
$278.09
Support
$273.59
Support
$267.43
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+48.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($271.19).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 89 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+3.316) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.00).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.42× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($281.71).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:40.434701727Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.