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Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) — Downtrend in force
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) is trading at $282.52, +6.77 (+2.46%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +29.1% move. Price is -15.0% from its 6-month high and +51.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) is trading at $282.52. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +29.1% move.
Price is -15.0% from the 6-month high and +51.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($280.51) and below the 50-day SMA ($294.88).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $282.52, upper $303.50, middle $284.41, lower $265.33. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 50.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.03, signal $-5.23, histogram +0.197.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.20) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($282.52) is +6.6% above the anchored VWAP ($265.01). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $282.52. Resistance above: $285.58, $289.25, $296.38. Support below: $279.23, $274.35, $268.76.
Watch $285.58 as the first upside level to clear, and $279.23 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$285.58
Resistance
$289.25
Resistance
$296.38
Support
$279.23
Support
$274.35
Support
$268.76
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+29.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($294.88).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.197) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.45).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($265.01).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:55.523476709Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.