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UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) — Downtrend in force
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) is trading at $403.97, -17.5 (-4.15%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +46.5% move. Price is -7.4% from its 6-month high and +56.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) is trading at $403.97. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +46.5% move.
Price is -7.4% from the 6-month high and +56.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($418.67, -3.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($412.73).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $403.97, upper $437.03, middle $420.11, lower $403.20. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 8.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 36.7. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.88, signal $1.32, histogram -3.196.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.89) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($403.97) is +16.3% above the anchored VWAP ($347.43). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $403.97. Resistance above: $406.20, $414.16, $422.74. Support below: $403.20, $397.80.
Watch $406.20 as the first upside level to clear, and $403.20 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$406.20
Resistance
$414.16
Resistance
$422.74
Support
$403.20
Support
$397.80
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+46.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($412.73).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 37 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-3.196) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.02).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($347.43).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T13:16:30.331258002Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.