UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) — Downtrend in force
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) is trading at $375.74, +0.8 (+-75.1%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +33.5% move. Price is -13.9% from its 6-month high and +33.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) is trading at $375.74. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +33.5% move.
Price is -13.9% from the 6-month high and +33.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($374.14) and below the 50-day SMA ($392.06).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $375.74, upper $388.95, middle $376.60, lower $364.25. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.6% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 51.8. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.57, signal $-6.51, histogram +0.936.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.91) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($375.74) is -2.1% below the anchored VWAP ($383.97). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $375.74. Resistance above: $378.49, $388.95, $394.49. Support below: $374.56, $362.60.
Watch $378.49 as the first upside level to clear, and $374.56 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$378.49
Resistance
$388.95
Resistance
$394.49
Support
$374.56
Support
$362.60
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+33.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($392.06).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 52 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.936) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.47).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($383.97).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:55.973682335Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.