VLO (VLO) — Uptrend in force
VLO (VLO) is trading at $416.82, +29.1 (+-59.9%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +69.7% move. Price is -0.6% from its 6-month high and +86.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
VLO (VLO) is trading at $416.82. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +69.7% move.
Price is -0.6% from the 6-month high and +86.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($397.41, +4.9%) and above the 50-day SMA ($359.66).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $416.82, upper $421.45, middle $395.30, lower $369.15. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 13.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 61.3. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $13.70, signal $13.12, histogram +0.581.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.76). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is near highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($416.82) is +40.1% above the anchored VWAP ($297.47). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $416.82. Resistance above: $419.04. Support below: $409.15, $395.30, $385.40.
Watch $419.04 as the first upside level to clear, and $409.15 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$419.04
Support
$409.15
Support
$395.30
Support
$385.40
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+69.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($359.66).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 61 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.581) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.91).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.76) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($297.47).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:43.373195165Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.