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VRSK (VRSK) — Downtrend in force
VRSK (VRSK) is trading at $165.50, -0.44 (1.36%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -10.4% move. Price is -22.4% from its 6-month high and +5.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
VRSK (VRSK) is trading at $165.50. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -10.4% move.
Price is -22.4% from the 6-month high and +5.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($169.99, -2.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($182.54).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $165.50, upper $184.78, middle $172.35, lower $159.92. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 14.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 23.8. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.31, signal $-4.87, histogram -0.441.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.05) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($165.50) is -8.4% below the anchored VWAP ($180.65). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $165.50. Resistance above: $167.77, $171.31, $175.13. Support below: $163.29, $159.92.
Watch $167.77 as the first upside level to clear, and $163.29 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$167.77
Resistance
$171.31
Resistance
$175.13
Support
$163.29
Support
$159.92
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-10.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($182.54).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 24 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.441) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.22).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($180.65).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:43.780359815Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.