VRTX (VRTX) — Range-bound
VRTX (VRTX) is trading at $504.56, -22.17 (21.1%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is flat with a +16.2% move. Price is -9.6% from its 6-month high and +19.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
VRTX (VRTX) is trading at $504.56. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +16.2% move.
Price is -9.6% from the 6-month high and +19.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($515.02, -2.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($519.24).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $504.56, upper $530.20, middle $515.53, lower $500.86. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 5.7% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.00, signal $-1.83, histogram -2.176.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.83) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($504.56) is +5.4% above the anchored VWAP ($478.87). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $504.56. Resistance above: $513.64, $525.29, $546.84. Support below: $500.86.
Watch $513.64 as the first upside level to clear, and $500.86 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$513.64
Resistance
$525.29
Resistance
$546.84
Support
$500.86
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($519.24).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.176) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.13).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($478.87).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:44.810790328Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.