WDC (WDC) — Downtrend in force
WDC (WDC) is trading at $429.32, -115.52 (-21.2%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +50.1% move. Price is -42.5% from its 6-month high and +75.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~110%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
WDC (WDC) is trading at $429.32. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +50.1% move.
Price is -42.5% from the 6-month high and +75.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~110%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($509.85, -15.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($561.10).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $429.32, upper $591.95, middle $511.22, lower $430.50. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 31.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-21.58, signal $-16.03, histogram -5.546.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.08) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($429.32) is -2.3% below the anchored VWAP ($439.65). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $429.32. Resistance above: $467.26, $492.93, $539.43. Support below: $422.11.
Watch $467.26 as the first upside level to clear, and $422.11 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$467.26
Resistance
$492.93
Resistance
$539.43
Support
$422.11
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+50.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($561.10).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 39 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-5.546) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.01).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($439.65).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:59.915130305Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.